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The Investment Case

A mandated market, a missing layer, and a compliance bar that's already climbed 5% to 7%

Demand is legislated, supply is fragmented, and no player owns the trust + payment + compliance layer between them. TheBioLink does — asset-light, four revenue lines from day one.

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Market

Sizing the opportunity, tier by tier

Illustrative market sizing anchored to India's own biomass volume and capacity data — expressed as share of national demand, not booked revenue.

5%→7%TAM — National mandate, still climbing
~8%SAM — Our wedge's share of India's coal capacity
60%+SOM — Share of Maharashtra's own coal fleet
TAM — A rising national mandate

Co-firing is a binding requirement for every coal thermal power plant in India — not a target. The Ministry of Power raised it from 5% (FY2024-25) to 7% (FY2025-26) within a single policy cycle. Source: Ministry of Power policy revision, 16 June 2023.

SAM — Share, day one

Maharashtra's 10 anchor TPPs (~16.7 GW installed capacity) alone represent ~8% of India's total coal-fired capacity — a beachhead big enough to prove the model nationally.

SOM — The beachhead

That same wedge is 60%+ of Maharashtra's own coal fleet. Start with one district, one anchor TPP, expanding to full-state volume.

📈 Enforcement is a tailwind: the December 2025 CAQM penalty action tightened supply and pushed procurement urgency higher within weeks.

Beyond co-firing: the same rails, more buyers

15–20M t/yr
Cement co-processing

25% thermal substitution targeted by 2030, from <1% today; 14.5M t/yr surplus biomass already identified.

108 plants live
Compressed biogas (CBG)

Feedstock mandatory from FY 2025-26; 1,094 letters of intent as of mid-2025.

47 TPPs
Adoption already underway

Coal thermal power plants already co-firing biomass nationally, per Ministry of Power — proof the compliance mechanism works before enforcement even tightened further.

Business Model

Four revenue lines, one calculable take rate

One revenue engine first, three high-margin layers after — marketplace, then software, then financial ecosystem.

1LIVE AT MVP

Transaction fee

Commission on every verified trade — the primary line, in line with commission-based B2B agri-trading models.

2YEAR 2

Compliance-as-a-service

Recurring subscription for TPPs needing ongoing compliance-ready / MRV documentation.

3YEAR 3

Financing partnership

Revenue share on farmer/aggregator working-capital lending via an NBFC partner — not balance-sheet lending.

4YEAR 4

Data products

Aggregated regional biomass-availability data sold to TPPs, cement plants, and policymakers.

1.5–2.5%TAKE RATE ON EVERY VERIFIED TRADE

Applied to every tonne transacted through the marketplace — before compliance, financing, or carbon revenue lines are added. Costs at MVP stage are people, not infrastructure: an asset-light strategy by design.

Roadmap

Each stage gated by a real milestone, not a wish-list

PHASE 1 · 12 MO

Pilot — Maharashtra

MVP live in one district: 1 anchor TPP, 10–12 pellet manufacturers, 20+ aggregators, real verified trades with MRV-aligned compliance docs.

PHASE 2 · 24 MO

Full state rollout

Maharashtra-wide, riding the bamboo blending mandate. Compliance-as-a-service formalised as recurring revenue.

PHASE 3 · 36–48 MO

Multi-state entry

Madhya Pradesh, then Punjab / Haryana / UP. Matching graduates toward a fuller AI forecasting layer.

PHASE 4 · 48–60 MO

National scale

Multi-state presence; AI forecasting matures; early exploration of cement & biogas buyer segments.

Built in India. Ready for the World.

Biomass is only the beginning

The same verified-supply, compliance, and financing platform extends across every hard-to-decarbonise industrial input — and the problems TheBioLink solves in India exist wherever coal grids, agricultural residue, and tightening carbon rules meet.

  • Proven playbook: mandate-driven, state-by-state expansion
  • Asset-light rails that travel — coordination & software, not capex
  • MRV-grade data ready for global carbon markets
  • Every future market starts with the discipline built here
Team

A combination rare in this market

Bhavesh Kothari

Founder & CEO, Product Lead

On-the-ground trading experience: direct operating experience in biomass pellet trading and aggregation into thermal power plants via Kothari Infra Enterprises Pvt Ltd, including existing SAMARTH registration and live TPP relationships. Watched a plant absorb a ₹50+ crore penalty for missing its biomass mandate — the gap that led to building TheBioLink.

Rajendra Kanade

Co-founder & COO

Enterprise procurement discipline: 25+ years in bulk procurement, farmer sourcing, and agricultural aggregation, with a track record in supplier management and strategic sourcing — the discipline that structures a fragmented market into a repeatable process.

The two founders met in 2008 at Reliance Infrastructure — 15+ years on opposite ends of the same broken transaction: one inside the plant absorbing compliance penalties, one inside the cooperative watching residue go unsold. Shared vision: verified trust, from field to furnace.

Hiring Roadmap

Two founders, three roles filled — technology directed in-house today. Engineering Lead after product validation · Field Operations Lead after pre-seed · Government & Compliance Lead at multi-state expansion.

Back the missing layer in India's biomass economy

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